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Qual 252018 Colorado Regional
Red272
4550172.0
4068125.1
294596.4
Blue394
2240128.2
4153114.7
1339182.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306323200250350400450272394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#6
172.01.8
152.2→154.0
Auto18.5
Teleop125.5
End29.3
blue by 10.7
1339
#7
182.70.9
177.6→178.5
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
Second
4068
#52
125.19.5
94.6→104.1
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
blue by 3.1
2240
#19
128.20.2
117.5→117.7
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
Third
2945
#38
96.43.6
89.3→92.9
Auto17.3
Teleop75.2
End8.2
blue by 18.3
4153
#18
114.70.6
105.3→105.9
Auto15.8
Teleop88.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed