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Red219
1332127.0
1583117.5
4593128.9
Blue395
5899133.4
2996173.5
1977113.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703020100200400500600700219395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#21
128.97.5
109.1116.6
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
blue by 44.6
173.51.0
155.2156.2
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
Second
1332
#34
127.07.5
105.5113.1
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
blue by 6.4
5899
#22
133.47.1
105.6112.7
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Third
1583
#43
117.56.1
99.3105.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
red by 3.9
1977
#45
113.62.3
95.597.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed