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Qual 282018 Colorado Regional
Red121
3648103.7
1303107.5
3200122.7
Blue259
3005195.1
2261109.3
464191.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225349100200300400500121259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#27
122.71.2
116.9→118.1
Auto19.3
Teleop94.2
End10.3
blue by 72.4
3005
#17
195.11.3
188.4→189.7
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
Second
1303
#39
107.55.0
98.7→103.8
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
blue by 1.8
2261
#35
109.37.4
104.1→111.6
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End6.0
Third
3648
#50
103.70.9
104.8→105.7
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
red by 12.1
4641
#42
91.60.0
87.0→87.0
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed