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Qual 322018 Colorado Regional
Red209
5414133.7
4944170.7
1339182.7
Blue265
698124.2
118216.6
2083100.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383321100200500600209265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#7
182.71.5
178.5→180.0
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
blue by 33.9
118
#3
216.61.2
207.7→208.9
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
Second
4944
#15
170.71.5
167.8→169.2
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
red by 46.4
698
#41
124.24.4
107.4→111.8
Auto18.8
Teleop91.9
End15.7
Third
5414
#24
133.70.8
137.2→138.1
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
red by 33.7
2083
#49
100.03.2
102.1→105.3
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed