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Qual 332018 Colorado Regional
Red404
4293141.1
5657116.1
1245139.4
Blue172
2259108.4
3288109.1
1584117.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142390100200400500600404172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#30
141.15.6
115.4→121.0
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
red by 23.9
1584
#29
117.23.0
108.5→111.5
Auto18.2
Teleop84.4
End14.2
Second
1245
#5
139.49.1
103.6→112.8
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
red by 30.4
3288
#28
109.12.7
116.9→119.6
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Third
5657
#40
116.13.9
106.6→110.5
Auto18.8
Teleop89.0
End7.4
red by 7.7
2259
#47
108.43.0
95.5→98.5
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed