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Qual 362018 Colorado Regional
Red218
2261109.3
2083100.0
2996173.5
Blue389
1011172.0
159143.4
5493114.4
38%Model gave it62%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281305100200400500218389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#4
173.52.1
156.2→158.3
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
red by 1.5
1011
#8
172.00.1
168.2→168.1
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
Second
2261
#35
109.34.5
111.6→116.0
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End6.0
blue by 34.1
159
#11
143.42.1
124.9→127.0
Auto21.7
Teleop107.6
End15.2
Third
2083
#49
100.01.7
105.3→107.1
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
blue by 14.4
5493
#25
114.40.5
109.7→110.2
Auto15.7
Teleop86.5
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed