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Qual 372018 Colorado Regional
Red193
2259108.4
1245139.4
5126129.8
Blue411
3648103.7
5414133.7
118216.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253380100200300500193411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1245
#5
139.49.4
112.8→122.2
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
blue by 77.2
118
#3
216.60.8
208.9→209.7
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
Second
5126
#32
129.80.5
127.7→128.2
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
blue by 3.9
5414
#24
133.70.6
138.1→137.5
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
Third
2259
#47
108.41.7
98.5→100.3
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
red by 4.7
3648
#50
103.71.1
105.7→104.6
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed