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Red411
464191.6
148238.0
3807109.0
Blue296
3288109.1
1619223.4
4068125.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294367200400500600411296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
238.01.8
223.5225.3
Auto24.8
Teleop172.2
End36.2
red by 14.7
223.42.1
206.1208.2
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
Second
3807
#23
109.01.9
96.698.5
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
blue by 16.0
4068
#52
125.14.7
110.2114.8
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
Third
4641
#42
91.60.1
87.086.9
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
blue by 17.4
3288
#28
109.11.4
119.6121.0
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned