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Qual 402018 Colorado Regional
Red157
5899133.4
1799102.3
6459113.0
Blue219
3200122.7
1332127.0
2036110.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290281100200400500157219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5899
#22
133.48.0
112.7→120.7
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
red by 6.4
1332
#34
127.04.7
113.1→117.8
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
Second
6459
#48
113.01.9
110.8→112.7
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
blue by 9.7
3200
#27
122.70.3
118.1→118.4
Auto19.3
Teleop94.2
End10.3
Third
1799
#37
102.33.3
96.1→99.4
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
blue by 7.7
2036
#46
110.05.1
109.4→114.5
Auto18.5
Teleop84.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed