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Red174
1799102.3
3648103.7
2240128.2
Blue436
1619223.4
698124.2
4386122.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1844240100300500600174436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#19
128.21.0
118.6119.5
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
blue by 95.2
223.41.5
208.2209.8
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
Second
3648
#50
103.70.6
104.6105.2
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
blue by 20.5
698
#41
124.22.5
111.8114.3
Auto18.8
Teleop91.9
End15.7
Third
1799
#37
102.30.2
99.499.2
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
blue by 20.4
4386
#33
122.72.6
115.1117.7
Auto16.5
Teleop88.4
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsEarned