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Red233
4068125.1
4388162.1
6459113.0
Blue484
2848181.4
118216.6
5126129.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2174580100300400500233484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#10
162.12.2
153.7155.9
Auto16.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
blue by 54.5
118
#3
216.61.2
209.7210.9
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
Second
4068
#52
125.12.9
114.8117.7
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
blue by 56.3
2848
#14
181.40.9
178.5179.4
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
Third
6459
#48
113.01.1
112.7111.7
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
blue by 16.8
5126
#32
129.80.2
128.2128.4
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned