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Qual 462018 Colorado Regional
Red174
1303107.5
5657116.1
3288109.1
Blue104
3807109.0
5493114.4
2083100.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271251100200300400500174104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5657
#40
116.12.0
116.4→118.4
Auto18.8
Teleop89.0
End7.4
red by 1.7
5493
#25
114.41.1
110.2→111.3
Auto15.7
Teleop86.5
End14.7
Second
3288
#28
109.10.7
121.0→121.6
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Level
3807
#23
109.03.3
98.5→101.7
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
Third
1303
#39
107.51.5
105.4→106.9
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
red by 7.5
2083
#49
100.00.5
107.1→106.6
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed