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Qual 472018 Colorado Regional
Red270
1339182.7
2259108.4
5763134.1
Blue387
3200122.7
4593128.9
2996173.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312314280300320340360380270387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#7
182.70.5
179.9→180.4
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
red by 9.2
2996
#4
173.51.1
158.3→159.3
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
Second
5763
#20
134.13.5
116.1→119.6
Auto18.3
Teleop104.5
End12.7
red by 5.3
4593
#21
128.92.5
121.3→123.8
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
Third
2259
#47
108.40.8
100.3→101.1
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
blue by 14.3
3200
#27
122.70.3
118.4→118.1
Auto19.3
Teleop94.2
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed