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Qual 492018 Colorado Regional
Red302
1011172.0
698124.2
2240128.2
Blue228
1245139.4
4499154.4
7243121.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328314200250300350400450302228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#8
172.00.8
168.1→168.9
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
red by 17.6
4499
#16
154.40.8
148.6→149.4
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1
Second
2240
#19
128.20.8
119.5→120.3
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
blue by 11.3
1245
#5
139.45.8
122.2→128.0
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
Third
698
#41
124.23.4
114.3→117.8
Auto18.8
Teleop91.9
End15.7
red by 3.1
7243
#31
121.23.9
108.8→112.7
Auto15.6
Teleop92.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed