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Qual 502018 Colorado Regional
Red270
2261109.3
2036110.0
4944170.7
Blue136
1977113.6
4293141.1
294596.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482160100300400500270136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#15
170.70.1
169.1→169.3
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
red by 29.6
4293
#30
141.17.1
128.1→135.2
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
Second
2036
#46
110.02.0
114.5→116.4
Auto18.5
Teleop84.9
End4.6
blue by 3.6
1977
#45
113.62.6
102.7→105.4
Auto15.5
Teleop89.0
End7.6
Third
2261
#35
109.31.4
116.0→117.5
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End6.0
red by 13.0
2945
#38
96.41.6
98.2→96.6
Auto17.3
Teleop75.2
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed