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Qual 52018 Colorado Regional
Red308
5763134.1
3005195.1
4068125.1
Blue398
4944170.7
1245139.4
1730188.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793660100200400500600308398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
195.11.6
183.2→184.9
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
red by 6.6
1730
#9
188.40.9
184.0→184.9
Auto25.1
Teleop146.8
End16.1
Second
5763
#20
134.116.6
69.1→85.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.5
End12.7
blue by 36.5
4944
#15
170.72.2
160.6→162.8
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Third
4068
#52
125.117.0
65.5→82.5
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
blue by 14.4
1245
#5
139.417.4
62.2→79.6
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed