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Qual 62018 Colorado Regional
Red370
4550172.0
4593128.9
4418116.3
Blue73
1799102.3
5657116.1
2083100.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316265010020040050037073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#6
172.01.4
148.5→149.9
Auto18.5
Teleop125.5
End29.3
red by 55.9
5657
#40
116.115.5
79.5→94.9
Auto18.8
Teleop89.0
End7.4
Second
4593
#21
128.916.7
68.0→84.8
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
red by 26.6
1799
#37
102.317.3
62.8→80.1
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
Third
4418
#51DQ
116.315.9
75.5→91.4
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End11.5
red by 16.2
2083
#49
100.015.8
76.3→92.1
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed