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Qual 572018 Colorado Regional
Red165
6459113.0
662123.0
1303107.5
Blue278
4593128.9
3374148.9
1245139.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1913720100300400500600165278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#44
123.01.9
129.2→127.3
Auto17.0
Teleop95.7
End11.4
blue by 25.9
3374
#13
148.90.2
146.0→146.3
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
Second
6459
#48
113.00.4
111.7→111.2
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
blue by 26.4
1245
#5
139.43.7
128.0→131.7
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
Third
1303
#39
107.50.6
106.9→106.4
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
blue by 21.3
4593
#21
128.94.3
123.8→128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed