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Qual 582018 Colorado Regional
Red179
5414133.7
2036110.0
1730188.4
Blue369
1410144.7
2240128.2
2996173.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3713020100200500600700179369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#9
188.40.6
192.4→193.0
Auto25.1
Teleop146.8
End16.1
red by 14.9
2996
#4
173.51.8
159.3→161.2
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
Second
5414
#24
133.70.0
137.6→137.5
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
blue by 11.0
1410
#12
144.72.0
128.7→130.7
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
Third
2036
#46
110.01.3
116.4→117.8
Auto18.5
Teleop84.9
End4.6
blue by 18.2
2240
#19
128.21.3
120.3→121.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned