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Qual 702018 Colorado Regional
Red441
5414133.7
4550172.0
1619223.4
Blue253
4388162.1
3288109.1
3374148.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437259100200300400500600700441253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
223.42.3
213.8→216.1
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
red by 61.3
4388
#10
162.11.6
157.7→159.2
Auto16.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Second
4550
#6
172.02.0
163.4→165.4
Auto18.5
Teleop125.5
End29.3
red by 23.1
3374
#13
148.91.2
146.4→147.6
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
Third
5414
#24
133.71.5
137.5→136.0
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
red by 24.6
3288
#28
109.14.7
119.2→114.5
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed