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Qual 712018 Colorado Regional
Red381
1410144.7
4293141.1
2259108.4
Blue277
1977113.6
3005195.1
2083100.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623390100200300400500600381277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#12
144.72.9
133.1→135.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
blue by 50.4
3005
#17
195.11.5
194.0→195.6
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
Second
4293
#30
141.11.5
139.2→137.8
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
red by 27.5
1977
#45
113.63.5
107.6→111.1
Auto15.5
Teleop89.0
End7.6
Third
2259
#47
108.41.6
101.7→103.3
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
red by 8.4
2083
#49
100.01.9
106.6→104.7
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed