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Qual 722018 Colorado Regional
Red453
4153114.7
5763134.1
5899133.4
Blue60
7243121.2
1303107.5
5493114.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29027410015020025035040045045360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5763
#20
134.12.9
122.5→125.4
Auto18.3
Teleop104.5
End12.7
red by 13.0
7243
#31
121.23.5
116.9→120.3
Auto15.6
Teleop92.3
End13.1
Second
5899
#22
133.42.3
124.7→126.9
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
red by 19.0
5493
#25
114.41.3
112.8→114.1
Auto15.7
Teleop86.5
End14.7
Third
4153
#18
114.71.0
109.6→110.6
Auto15.8
Teleop88.6
End9.2
red by 7.1
1303
#39
107.52.0
105.7→107.7
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed