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Red286
4944170.7
294596.4
5657116.1
Blue229
1583117.5
1799102.3
5126129.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317263100200400500286229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#15
170.70.3
169.2169.5
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
red by 40.9
5126
#32
129.80.3
129.4129.1
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
Second
5657
#40
116.11.4
117.4116.0
Auto18.8
Teleop89.0
End7.4
blue by 1.4
1583
#43
117.52.1
112.3114.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
Third
2945
#38
96.41.4
92.293.6
Auto17.3
Teleop75.2
End8.2
blue by 5.9
1799
#37
102.30.6
100.3100.9
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed