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Qual 782018 Colorado Regional
Red281
148238.0
2240128.2
2261109.3
Blue363
118216.6
4388162.1
4593128.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318402100200500600700281363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
238.01.7
233.0→234.6
Auto24.8
Teleop172.2
End36.2
red by 21.4
118
#3
216.61.4
214.5→215.9
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
Second
2240
#19
128.21.9
123.5→125.4
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
blue by 33.9
4388
#10
162.11.2
159.2→160.4
Auto16.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Third
2261
#35
109.33.6
118.8→115.2
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End6.0
blue by 19.5
4593
#21
128.91.1
130.7→131.8
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed