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Red406
3374148.9
1339182.7
5899133.4
Blue208
4944170.7
1799102.3
1977113.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072360100200300500600700406208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.70.6
181.6182.2
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
red by 12.0
4944
#15
170.70.6
169.5170.1
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Second
3374
#13
148.90.9
147.6148.5
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
red by 35.3
1977
#45
113.61.6
111.1112.7
Auto15.5
Teleop89.0
End7.6
Third
5899
#22
133.43.2
126.9130.1
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
red by 31.1
1799
#37
102.30.9
100.9101.8
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed