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Red272
4499154.4
1332127.0
464191.6
Blue300
294596.4
5493114.4
1730188.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663460100200300400500600700272300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#16
154.40.9
151.4152.3
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1
blue by 34.0
188.41.2
190.8189.6
Auto25.1
Teleop146.8
End16.1
Second
1332
#34
127.01.9
123.0125.0
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
red by 12.6
5493
#25
114.40.1
114.1114.2
Auto15.7
Teleop86.5
End14.7
Third
4641
#42
91.60.9
89.790.5
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
blue by 4.7
2945
#38
96.41.5
93.695.1
Auto17.3
Teleop75.2
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed