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Qual 922018 Colorado Regional
Red287
5899133.4
4068125.1
3648103.7
Blue409
5763134.1
159143.4
4418116.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268339100200300400500287409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5899
#22
133.41.6
130.1→131.7
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
blue by 10.1
159
#11
143.42.2
138.3→140.5
Auto21.7
Teleop107.6
End15.2
Second
4068
#52
125.11.3
122.7→124.0
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
blue by 9.1
5763
#20
134.13.1
129.0→132.1
Auto18.3
Teleop104.5
End12.7
Third
3648
#50
103.70.1
103.6→103.7
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
blue by 12.6
4418
#51
116.31.3
117.6→116.3
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed