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Red488
7243121.2
1619223.4
148238.0
Blue129
2083100.0
6459113.0
2259108.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151210200300400600700800488129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
238.01.5
235.8237.3
Auto24.8
Teleop172.2
End36.2
red by 125.0
6459
#48
113.00.8
112.3113.0
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
Second
223.42.6
218.4221.0
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
red by 115.0
2259
#47
108.41.9
106.5108.4
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
Third
7243
#31
121.20.6
120.6121.2
Auto15.6
Teleop92.3
End13.1
red by 21.1
2083
#49
100.02.7
102.7100.0
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
95%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed