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Qual 952018 Colorado Regional
Red392
2848181.4
1583117.5
4944170.7
Blue265
1410144.7
464191.6
4593128.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122290100300500600392265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#14
181.40.3
182.1→181.8
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
red by 36.8
1410
#12
144.73.3
139.5→142.7
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
Second
4944
#15
170.70.3
170.1→170.4
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
red by 41.8
4593
#21
128.91.8
131.2→129.4
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
Third
1583
#43
117.51.1
116.4→117.5
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
red by 25.9
4641
#42
91.61.1
90.5→91.6
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed