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Red576
2996173.5
3288109.1
3005195.1
Blue211
2240128.2
3729110.9
5899133.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282270100300500600700576211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
195.10.5
196.4195.9
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
red by 61.7
5899
#22
133.41.7
131.7133.4
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Second
173.52.7
169.3172.0
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
red by 45.3
2240
#19
128.21.0
126.7127.7
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
Third
3288
#28
109.11.0
110.0109.1
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 1.8
3729
#36
110.90.2
110.7110.9
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed