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Red50
639995.6
7006134.0
6356109.0
Blue293
1477161.5
5516121.3
649499.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219331010040050060070050293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7006
#24
134.00.0
134.0134.0
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End15.3
blue by 27.5
161.50.0
161.5161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Second
6356
#35
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
blue by 12.3
5516
#18
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Third
6399
#36
95.60.0
95.695.6
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
blue by 3.7
99.30.0
99.399.3
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest odds37%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds