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Red431
1772165.2
1577196.7
5522146.5
Blue182
5849115.8
530891.1
1574217.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162390600800431182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.70.0
196.7196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
blue by 21.0
217.70.0
217.7217.7
Auto22.7
Teleop163.6
End28.8
Second
165.20.0
165.2165.2
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
red by 49.4
5849
#34
115.80.0
115.8115.8
Auto14.5
Teleop81.0
End22.1
Third
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
red by 55.4
5308
#20
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest odds48%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss odds12%Face the Boss odds