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Red156
6394141.3
5516121.3
6771127.8
Blue316
694089.9
1772165.2
6360101.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282560100200400500600700156316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 23.9
165.20.0
165.2165.2
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
Second
6771
#28
127.80.0
127.8127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
red by 26.1
101.70.0
101.7101.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Third
5516
#18
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
red by 31.4
6940
#14
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest odds36%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds