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Red391
1577196.7
5823152.5
7095109.8
Blue216
649499.3
5449135.4
5522146.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472710100200400500600700391216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.70.0
196.7196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
red by 50.2
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Second
5823
#30
152.50.0
152.5152.5
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 17.0
5449
#21
135.40.0
135.4135.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
Third
109.80.0
109.8109.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
red by 10.6
99.30.0
99.399.3
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds45%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds