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Red254
909360.1
6990117.5
1477161.5
Blue289
910060.1
6771127.8
5449135.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032500100200400500600254289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.0
161.5161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
red by 26.1
5449
#21
135.40.0
135.4135.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
Second
6990
#12
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
blue by 10.3
6771
#28
127.80.0
127.8127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
Third
9093
#23
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9100
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest odds53%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds