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Red400
905960.1
723892.9
1577196.7
Blue175
639995.6
6394141.3
6386155.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773240100200400500600700800400175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.70.0
196.7196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
red by 41.5
6386
#25
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
Second
7238
#31
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 48.5
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
9059
#29
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 35.4
6399
#36
95.60.0
95.695.6
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest odds46%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds