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Red324
173144.7
558154.3
102794.1
Blue411
190135.0
175173.9
155128.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291386100200500600324411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#6
154.30.2
154.1154.3
Auto23.9
Teleop112.7
End19.6
blue by 19.6
175
#7
173.90.4
172.7173.1
Auto23.2
Teleop127.2
End25.1
Second
173
#11
144.70.4
144.3144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
red by 9.7
190
#14
135.00.6
133.3133.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End14.9
Third
1027
#39
94.10.3
93.894.1
Auto12.9
Teleop77.5
End5.1
blue by 34.7
155
#24
128.80.2
128.2128.4
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0