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Red335
176180.0
230224.5
2064134.4
Blue287
236149.2
999140.6
839142.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425273100200500600335287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
224.50.1
224.3224.4
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
red by 75.3
236
#17
149.20.2
149.5149.4
Auto20.3
Teleop109.4
End20.2
Second
176
#5
180.00.4
181.6181.2
Auto25.6
Teleop133.8
End16.0
red by 37.7
839
#21
142.40.4
141.5142.0
Auto16.0
Teleop106.3
End23.8
Third
2064
#19
134.40.2
135.3135.2
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
blue by 6.1
999
#8
140.60.1
140.3140.4
Auto17.3
Teleop105.2
End17.4