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Red421
278595.7
195223.2
1085109.5
Blue282
3146153.1
3464131.6
6895100.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542560100200300400500600421282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
223.20.1
202.7202.8
Auto28.7
Teleop167.5
End32.5
red by 70.1
3146
#23
153.10.1
147.4147.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
Second
1085
#30
109.50.2
108.0107.7
Auto16.8
Teleop80.2
End13.3
blue by 22.1
3464
#10
131.60.3
124.4124.1
Auto19.1
Teleop88.5
End22.5
Third
2785
#29
95.70.0
95.295.2
Auto16.0
Teleop68.1
End13.8
blue by 4.4
6895
#37
100.11.7
104.2102.4
Auto14.4
Teleop73.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed