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Red357
173144.7
1740126.1
2836159.4
Blue279
181156.0
1991123.3
6333118.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338290100200400500600357279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.40.7
154.7154.0
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
red by 3.5
181
#20
156.01.9
140.2142.2
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Second
173
#11
144.71.9
128.2130.1
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
red by 21.3
1991
#28
123.30.3
114.0114.3
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
Third
1740
#16
126.10.8
120.9120.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End23.6
red by 7.6
6333
#40
118.51.0
122.0121.1
Auto20.2
Teleop86.8
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed