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Red246
1740126.1
1085109.5
236149.2
Blue285
558154.3
999140.6
2064134.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293314100150200250350400450500246285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#17
149.22.2
148.7150.9
Auto20.3
Teleop109.4
End20.2
blue by 5.1
558
#6
154.30.3
134.3134.7
Auto23.9
Teleop112.7
End19.6
Second
1740
#16
126.10.8
122.3121.5
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End23.6
blue by 14.5
999
#8
140.61.4
118.1119.6
Auto17.3
Teleop105.2
End17.4
Third
1085
#30
109.51.4
110.5109.1
Auto16.8
Teleop80.2
End13.3
blue by 24.9
2064
#19
134.40.0
131.3131.3
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed