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Red230
190135.0
681196.0
7153110.3
Blue295
6812105.8
181156.0
6895100.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323230100200400500600700230295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#14
135.00.7
124.1123.4
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End14.9
blue by 21.0
181
#20
156.01.8
136.7138.5
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Second
7153
#31
110.30.1
106.8106.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
red by 4.5
6812
#35
105.828.1
105.877.7
Auto15.3
Teleop79.8
End6.9
Third
6811
#38
96.02.2
107.6105.4
Auto16.3
Teleop70.9
End9.5
blue by 4.1
6895
#37
100.11.7
106.9105.2
Auto14.4
Teleop73.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed