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Red463
155128.8
176180.0
173144.7
Blue159
3182129.7
3146153.1
363499.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652720100200300400500600463159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
180.02.0
161.4163.4
Auto25.6
Teleop133.8
End16.0
red by 26.9
3146
#23
153.10.4
147.1147.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
Second
173
#11
144.70.9
125.9126.8
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
red by 15.0
3182
#22
129.70.9
126.2127.1
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
Third
155
#24
128.81.0
116.5117.4
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
red by 29.7
3634
#27
99.11.6
106.9105.3
Auto16.3
Teleop75.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed