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Red142
6333118.5
3146153.1
197391.1
Blue393
190135.0
1991123.3
999140.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255346100200300400500142393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#23
153.10.5
147.9147.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
red by 12.5
999
#8
140.61.8
124.9126.7
Auto17.3
Teleop105.2
End17.4
Second
6333
#40
118.50.5
120.4119.9
Auto20.2
Teleop86.8
End11.7
blue by 16.4
190
#14
135.00.2
123.2123.4
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End14.9
Third
1973
#41
91.10.5
91.090.5
Auto14.9
Teleop65.9
End10.5
blue by 32.2
1991
#28
123.31.2
114.7115.9
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed