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Red196
6346104.8
2067167.9
571133.2
Blue420
7153110.3
2836159.4
195223.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2514000100200300500600700196420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
167.90.3
167.6167.9
Auto22.9
Teleop120.2
End26.5
blue by 55.3
195
#1
223.21.2
204.0205.1
Auto28.7
Teleop167.5
End32.5
Second
571
#25
133.20.3
130.4130.7
Auto19.0
Teleop101.8
End13.8
blue by 26.2
159.40.5
153.7153.2
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
Third
6346
#18
104.80.7
99.9100.6
Auto17.6
Teleop77.7
End10.4
blue by 5.5
7153
#31
110.30.5
105.2105.7
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned