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Red256
3182129.7
1085109.5
571133.2
Blue403
5686138.8
190135.0
173144.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260348100200300400500600256403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#25
133.20.4
129.2129.5
Auto19.0
Teleop101.8
End13.8
blue by 11.4
173
#11
144.71.3
139.7140.9
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Second
3182
#22
129.70.9
127.4128.4
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
blue by 9.1
5686
#15
138.81.3
133.5134.8
Auto19.3
Teleop109.1
End10.9
Third
1085
#30
109.50.5
109.4108.8
Auto16.8
Teleop80.2
End13.3
blue by 25.4
190
#14
135.01.3
126.4127.7
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed