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Red411
6333118.5
176180.0
2836159.4
Blue316
3146153.1
3654128.4
6812105.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012540100200300500600411316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
180.00.7
180.0180.7
Auto25.6
Teleop133.8
End16.0
red by 26.9
3146
#23
153.11.0
147.2148.2
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
Second
159.40.4
154.7155.1
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
red by 31.0
3654
#32
128.40.2
125.2125.5
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
Third
6333
#40
118.50.2
117.5117.2
Auto20.2
Teleop86.8
End11.7
red by 12.7
6812
#35
105.83.6
112.4108.8
Auto15.3
Teleop79.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed