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Red411
7153110.3
7127129.0
230224.5
Blue167
278595.7
2064134.4
4987116.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162150100300500600700411167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
224.50.1
223.2223.3
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
red by 90.1
2064
#19
134.41.7
133.7135.4
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
Second
7127
#13
129.01.5
122.5124.0
Auto17.7
Teleop99.2
End14.7
red by 12.9
4987
#34
116.10.2
118.5118.3
Auto20.0
Teleop88.5
End5.2
Third
7153
#31
110.30.5
108.4109.0
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
red by 14.6
2785
#29
95.70.3
95.595.8
Auto16.0
Teleop68.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed