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Red321
4987116.1
3464131.6
681196.0
Blue410
3654128.4
2067167.9
1740126.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2414010100200300500600321410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#10
131.61.2
128.1129.3
Auto19.1
Teleop88.5
End22.5
blue by 36.3
2067
#12
167.90.1
167.8167.9
Auto22.9
Teleop120.2
End26.5
Second
4987
#34
116.10.2
118.3118.0
Auto20.0
Teleop88.5
End5.2
blue by 12.3
3654
#32
128.40.6
125.5126.1
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
Third
6811
#38
96.00.4
97.196.8
Auto16.3
Teleop70.9
End9.5
blue by 30.1
1740
#16
126.10.6
123.7124.3
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed