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Red270
155128.8
5686138.8
7153110.3
Blue516
197391.1
230224.5
175173.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246440100200300400500600270516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5686
#15
138.81.5
134.8136.3
Auto19.3
Teleop109.1
End10.9
blue by 85.7
230
#3
224.50.7
223.3224.0
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
Second
155
#24
128.80.6
126.2126.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
blue by 45.1
175
#7
173.91.3
169.0170.3
Auto23.2
Teleop127.2
End25.1
Third
7153
#31
110.31.0
109.0110.0
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
red by 19.2
1973
#41
91.10.5
91.191.6
Auto14.9
Teleop65.9
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed